That is a real possibility if they do well. Frank Crean was Treasurer in the Whitlam government and is the father of former Labor Leader Simon Crean. Currently [83.41% point] ALP lead Liberals by 4 420 and Greens by 3 873. He has worked as a computer systems administrator and consultant for small-medium enterprise. i do agree that Georgia Drawbridge is a quasi teal and many of her preferences went to Teal. Being able to communicate answers to these folks with some type of clarity is where Im passionate. Support local journalism. Since 1989 he's run his own business, which in 2016 gained a Multicultural Impact Award. Holding was replaced by Michael Danby in 1998, and Danby held the seat for the next two decades, retiring in 2019. East of Hotham, the Glen Eira part of St Kilda East is totally different and more similar to Caulfield North. 3. Gettin spicy https://www.aec.gov.au/news/results-3cp.htm. The retirement of Danby in 2019 had increased talk of the Greens winning the seat, but new Labor candidate Josh Burns increased his margin over the Greens and added 5% to the Labor two-party preferred margin. "It must be in a smart, resilient and low-impact manner., Occupation: Small-business owner and nonprofit executive director, Education: Doctorate of public administration (in-progress); master's in educational leadership; bachelor's in elementary education. I've heard lots of folks' concerns to everything ranging from stormwater runoff in the lagoon to age-friendly inclusion in the newly developed downtown areas. Education: Bachelor's degree in business administration in management and another bachelor's degree in business administration accounting and finance. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. Support local journalism. Josh Burns came first on primaries and he can thank the collapse in the Liberal vote. Thats extraordinary, quite possibly the closest 3 way 3CP count ever, and I think a full 3CP recount if its that close is a very likely possibility. 3483 remaining and they are breaking 25.8% LIB, 27.9% ALP, 30.8% GRN and 15.6% Other. Infrastructure needs: Invest in, maintain and improve our infrastructure, while being mindful of residential, economic and environmental impact. Because Antony Green knows way more (if it is true that he was going to call it). William Bowe explains in his latest blog (from after yesterdays counting finished) that his results system is incorrectly calling it due to its inability to think in three-party terms. The departure of Danby in 2019 saw a boost in Labor vote, though whether this was a coincidence with of consequence of Danby's departure is impossible to say. She is a former planning and environmental lawyer, and has also worked as an advisor to the Australian Mission to the United Nations and as a volunteer lawyer at Environmental Justice Australia. Before being won by Josh Burns in 2019, the electorate had been represented by only five members in 113 years. Melbourne Ports) Celeste Liddle Federal Candidate for Cooper Sonya Semmens Federal Candidate for Higgins Piers Mitchem Federal Candidate for Kooyong Asher Cookson Candidate for Aston John Barnes Federal Candidate for Ballarat Matthew Kirwan Federal Candidate for Bruce Previous Meet the Candidates events include: The 2022 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates was held on 3rd mat at the boyd community Hub. Labor 32.94% 2. The electorate of Melbourne has existed since Federation and was held by Labor continuously from 1904 until the 2010 election. First Preference Results 1983-2019, The Labor lean of Melbourne Ports/Macnamara has declined at recent elections, but as discussed above, the three-way nature of the contest means the after preferences count is the secondary hurdle Labor must clear to win. ALP got 31.8% of the primary vote but 62.3% of the 2PP. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. Changes at outdoor shop: Harry Goode's Outdoor Shop gets new owners, interior rebuild after 76 years in Melbourne, Occupation:Assistant principal,Brevard Public Schools, Education:Bachelors degree in psychology and elementary education; master's degree in educational leadership, Political/government/civic experience:Elected to Melbourne City Council in November 2018; member of the Space Coast League of Cities board of directors; treasurer of the Space Coast League of Cities; appointed vice mayor in November 2021, Campaign email:reelectjsanders2022@gmail.com, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links:sanders4mlbcouncil.com; Facebook: Reelect Julie Sanders 2022;Instagram: Juliesanders2873. Immediately below is the video of the event. Sure, the 2CP run-off will be revealed upon the throw of all preferences. Cleaner, Artist, Operations Clerk and more on Indeed.com Port Melbourne Candidate Jobs in Melbourne VIC (with Salaries) 2022 | Indeed.com Australia It must be in a smart, resilient and low-impact manner. Australia 2010 Australia 2013 Australia 2016 Australia 2019 Australia 2022 By-election Candidate numbers City of Brisbane Covid-19 Data . ), meaning any 2CP combination is still possible. These are the two issues that I plan to be talking about, Young said. For the latest information, searchABC Emergency, For the latestweather warnings in the Northern Territory, search onABC Emergency. Subscribe today. Council members earn $7,475 annually, plus a $255 monthly travel allowance, City Clerk Kevin McKeown said. Results prior to 2019 were under the electorate's former name of Melbourne Ports.). Stragan is an award-winning accountant, born in Melbourne to Ukrainian parents. This is a mathematical certainty that labour will be in top two primary count. Long post I know, but in short the Liberals are already ahead of Labor on 3CP terms, and if vote continue to break exactly as they have been, they grow their lead while the Greens continue to catch up. The Division of Melbourne Ports was an Australian federal electoral division in the inner south-eastern suburbs of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. I will continueto support the creation of a West Melbourne Fire Department," Dittmore said. ABC has given Labor Macnamara and hence get a majority of 76 seats. He retired at the 1951 election and was succeeded by state MP Frank Crean. In other words, current vote trends are extending the Liberals 50 vote lead, and closing the Greens 495 vote deficit to push Labor into third. City Hall topics in recent months have included proposed downtown mixed-use developments, ongoing development in the city's Eau Gallie area and lack of affordable housing, among other issues. The Greens topped the primary vote in St Kilda, with the Liberal Party a distant third. Second, other electorates saw a drop in Green support and rise for Labor at the 2019 election where Green support rose further in Melbourne. I think the true boundary here is Hotham street which separates Port Phillip from Glen Eira.. Harbour Master's Directions & Port Information Guide, Notices to Mariners & Operational Instructions. The Greens still got the increase in the vote with the independent running and as seen on the VEC website, most Independent voters put the Greens above Labor and Liberals. Harbour Master's Directions & Port Information Guide, Notices to Mariners & Operational Instructions. The electorate includes the suburbs of Port Melbourne, South Melbourne, Middle Park, South Yarra, St Kilda, Balaclava, Elwood and parts of Elsternwick and Caulfield. Bandt was easily re-elected in 2016 and 2019 when Labor's vote slipped to third place behind the Liberal candidate. Labor's results ranged from 41.1% at Caulfield Presbyterian Church to 78.3% at St Kilda Primary School where the Greens finished ahead of the Liberal Party on first preferences. Berth locations and shipping agents' contact details, below. I find it interesting that the Party and Independents who had stronger positions on tackling climate change gained more seats than Labour, not sure about Dai Le in Fowler, but that was another howler from Labour. In early 2022, the Victorian Government asked the Department to convene the Container . Simon's brother David also served as Treasurer of Tasmania in the 1990s. But, because the margins are so slim, what favours Labor is that it wont take much of a change to how votes are breaking (either Libs or Greens start doing worse) for them to stay in the top two and win. Council members also comprise three of the seven members of the. For the latest information, searchABC Emergency, For the latestweather warnings in the Northern Territory, search onABC Emergency. At least the boundary change adding more Greens territory would significantly decrease the ALP v GRN margin. The successful candidates were: Canal Ward Tim Baxter (Deputy Mayor) Rhonda Clark Louise Crawford Gateway Ward Heather Cunsolo Peter Martin Marcus Pearl (Mayor) Lake Ward Andrew Bond Katherine Copsey Christina Sirakoff Continuing the gradual downwards trend in the Labor primary vote, in the 2013 election, Labor was returned with a primary vote of less than 32 percent. Contact Neale at 321-242-3638 or rneale@floridatoday.com. In 3CP terms after minor preferences, thats 32.2% LIB, 30.5% ALP, 37.3% GRN if postals continue flowing like the last batch too (and every single batch has been moving in that same direction). As you say FL, the main thing working against Steph HM here is actually just the complete obliteration of the Liberals most likely making this a Labor v Greens count. As shown by the plot of first preference vote, the Greens have replaced Labor as the major left party in the electorate of Melbourne. The city of more than 28,000. Greens overtaking Labor means Labor will finish 3rd. On the Macnamara count, Kevin Bonhams blog of its post-election count says his model projects PVs of: Labor 30.3 Greens 30.2 Liberal 29.7. This information is updated hourly. The top issue is cleaning up the Indian River Lagoon. The city, for now, contracts out its fire services to the county. Also disagree with you Dan M. It is completely misleading to analyse the Labor Albert Park Margin and Caulfield Margin considering that Balaclava, St Kilda and other areas are in the Caulfield electorate (fairly progressive electorates). Tel: +61 3 9646 8544Email: Its also worth noting Prahran covers a fair amount of Macnamara residents. And Vice Mayor Julie Sanders faces Adam Woodworth in the District 6 race. A redistribution will see Josh ousted in 2025, but if they fight too hard to preserve the current borders then they might just end up losing both Macnamara *and* Higgins. Labor will be desperate to hang on to its own newly-acquired seats, and presumably also very keen to protect and help the Independents as well. I compared it to the Macnamara electorate results in May not the 2018 state results where a Greens ran. Numerous annual continuing-education classes on ethics and city planning classes. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Adam Bandt Greens Leader retains safe seat. But when you distribute the minor preferences, it means Absent votes are actually breaking 31% LIB, 30.2% ALP and 38.8% GRN in 3CP terms. 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